With the exploding number of scandals, the continued economic misery, and the obvious failure of ObamaCare, you would think that this would be a great year for the Republicans. Yet Gallop reports that voter enthusiasm is down sharply this year. This is understandable among Democrats, given that Obama's motto should be "I cannot utter a truth." But among the Republicans?
Unfortunately, it is perfectly understandable. Republicans rode to a majority in the House, if not on the coattails of the Tea Party, certainly because of the sentiments expressed by the Tea Party. However, the so-called moderates continue to mock the Tea Party and other conservatives. They have caved on every major issue, and appear to be no different from the Democrats.
If I were to pick one specific issue that is going to kill Republican turnout, however, it will be amnesty. For some reason, Boehner is deeply attached to pushing amnesty (see also here). Even going so far as to mock Republicans that didn't want to sign on. (Even though he now claims he was merely engaging in harmless teasing).
The issue is a loser for the Republicans for two reasons. First, the base doesn't support amnesty or anything like it. Second, and something that the base seems to realize but the Congressional leaders seem blind to, is that any new Hispanic voters resulting from amnesty are simply going to vote Democrat, dooming the chance of conservatives to win at a national level:
“We can expect disaster. In sum, we’ll witness the unmaking of America,” Dr. Stephen Steinlight of the Center for Immigration Studies told me late last year. “It would subvert our political life by destroying the Republican Party. The Hispanic vote will make the Democrats the PRI of America. A GOP relic might survive regionally, but could never successfully contest a national election.
“America would turn into a One Party State which, like all others, would be tyrannical and corrupt. The political center would lurch to the left. Political liberty, the freedom to choose among authentically different alternatives, would be lost.
“A population transfer from one nation with a different language and political culture which will become the predominant future demographic will destroy social cohesion. The diversity of previous immigration safeguarded against this. Dual language/dual culture countries are plagued by Balkanizing social strife.It would also doom those living on the margins--the underemployed and unemployed--who would see their real wages drop due to increased competition. (Actually, I don't think that the GOP leadership is blind to this issue--I think that their attitude is that they would rather reign in hell than serve in heaven. As long as they can continue to win their particular Congressional or Senate seat, they don't care if they sell out the Republican party or the nation).